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Serbest Bölgelerin Dış Ticarete Etkileri: Türkiye Üzerine ARDL Modeli ile Ampirik Bir Uygulama

Authors: Öncel, Abidin; Demirtaş, Şükrü Can;

Serbest Bölgelerin Dış Ticarete Etkileri: Türkiye Üzerine ARDL Modeli ile Ampirik Bir Uygulama

Abstract

Serbest bolgeler, ulkelerin dis ticarette avantaj saglamak icin kurdugu bolgelerdir. Teoride, serbest bolge ticaretinin artmasi durumunda ulke dis ticaretinin bundan olumlu etkilenmesi beklenmektedir. Dolayisiyla bu calismada Turkiye’de serbest bolgelerin ticareti ile ulke dis ticareti arasindaki iliski ARDL modeli kullanilarak ampirik olarak arastirilmaktadir. 2000:01-2015:12 donemini kapsayan analizde hem kisa donemde hem de uzun donemde iliskinin varligi tespit edilmistir. Buna gore, kisa donemde serbest bolge ithalatindaki %1’lik degisme Turkiye’nin ithalatini %0,12 ve serbest bolge ihracatindaki %1’lik degisme Turkiye’nin ihracatini %0,47 artirirken, uzun donemde serbest bolge ithalati ile Turkiye’nin ithalati arasinda anlamli bir iliski bulunmamakta, ancak serbest bolge ihracatindaki %1’lik degisme Turkiye’nin ihracatini %0,14 artirmaktadir. Elde edilen bulgular, serbest bolgelerin ozellikle Turkiye’nin ihracatina onemli katkilar sagladigi yonundedir.

Keywords

Free Zones;Cointegration;ARDL model;Foreign Trade, Serbest Bölgeler;Eşbütünleşme;ARDL Modeli;Dış Ticaret

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
2
Average
Average
Average
gold