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Capital Mobility and the Output-Inflation Tradeoff

Authors: Prakash Loungani; Assaf Razin; Chi-Wa Yuen;

Capital Mobility and the Output-Inflation Tradeoff

Abstract

Our paper analyses the effects of restrictions on capital mobility on the output-inflation tradeoff. Using a stochastic version of the Mundell-Fleming model, we establish a theoretical presumption that an increase in restrictions on capital mobility should make the tradeoff parameter smaller, that is, a given change in the inflation rate should be associated with smaller movements in output. To measure the extent to which countries restrict capital movements, we construct an index using data from the IMF's Annual Report on Exchange Rate Arrangements and Exchange Restrictions. The estimates of the output-inflation tradeoff parameter are obtained from studies by Lucas (1973), Ball, Mankiw and Romer (1988) and others. Consistent with the theoretical presumption, countries with greater restrictions on capital controls have a smaller tradeoff parameter, that is, a steeper Phillips curve. This result holds after controlling for the impact of variability of aggregate demand [as suggested by Lucas (1973)] and mean inflation [as suggested by Ball, Mankiw and Romer (1988)] on the tradeoff parameter.

Country
China (People's Republic of)
Related Organizations
Keywords

Capital Mobility; Disinflation; Exchange Rate; Mean Inflation; Sacrifice Ratio; Variability of Nominal Income Growth, Capital movements ; Inflation (Finance), Capital controls, Openness, Capital mobility, Output-inflation tradeoff, Capital controls;Inflation;Output-inflation tradeoff, capital mobility, openness, aggregate demand, inflation rate, jel: jel:E00, jel: jel:H10

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
29
Average
Top 10%
Average
Green
gold