
La Empresa Colombiana de Petroleos ECOPETROL S.A. ha finalizado la construccion de un poliducto nuevo y debe seleccionar la mejor alternativa para la operacion durante los proximos 20 anos del sistema de poliductos que permite el transporte y suministro del combustible a la capital del pais. Este trabajo presenta una Metodologia de Analisis de Decisiones soportada en modelos de simulacion, analisis de riesgo y Proceso Analitico Jerarquico, la cual tiene en cuenta criterios cuantitativos y cualitativos para seleccionar la mejor alternativa.
decision analysis, simulación de Montecarlo, proceso analítico jerárquico, Sistema de poliductos, risk analysis, analytic hierarchy proces, análisis de riesgo, hurto de combustible, Montecarlo simulation, Pipeline system, análisis de decisiones
decision analysis, simulación de Montecarlo, proceso analítico jerárquico, Sistema de poliductos, risk analysis, analytic hierarchy proces, análisis de riesgo, hurto de combustible, Montecarlo simulation, Pipeline system, análisis de decisiones
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