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Brazilian Business Review
Article . 2018 . Peer-reviewed
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Brazilian Business Review
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Brazilian Business Review
Article . 2018 . Peer-reviewed
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The Cyclicality of Loan Loss Provision in Brazilian Commercial Banks

Authors: Araújo, Antônio Maria Henri Beyle de; Lustosa, Paulo Roberto Barbosa; Dantas, José Alves;

The Cyclicality of Loan Loss Provision in Brazilian Commercial Banks

Abstract

Debates on banking regulation have increasingly given rise to a discussion on the relationship between the loan loss provision and business cycles. Provisioning rules for credit losses for banks in Brazil have mixed system characteristics, which could theoretically lead banks to pro-cyclical or countercyclical behavior, which reinforces the need for research to indicate what has actually been the effect of these provisions in the economy. The purpose of this paper is to analyze the relationship between banks’ provisioning for credit losses and business cycles in Brazil, in an attempt to confirm its nature, a condition capable of avoiding potentiating the effects of economic contraction or expansion. Using an econometric model with accounting and macroeconomic variables, the survey involved 91 commercial banks in the period from 2001 to 2012. Confirming that the delay in payments of principal and charges is a key condition for the recognition of banking provisions in Brazil, which highlights its predominantly retrospective nature, the results point to the existence of a pro-cyclical behavior by the banks surveyed, indicating that when GDP is on the rise, provisions tend to fall and vice versa.

Keywords

Bancos comerciais, llp, LLP, HF5001-6182, Cyclicality, Provisão, Business cycle, Loans, commercial banks, Empréstimos, loans, Commercial banks, Ciclicidade, business cycle, Business, cyclicality, Ciclo econômico

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
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