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Modern Stochastics: Theory and Applications
Article . 2023 . Peer-reviewed
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zbMATH Open
Article . 2023
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Ruin probabilities as functions of the roots of a polynomial

Authors: David J. Santana; Luis Rincón;

Ruin probabilities as functions of the roots of a polynomial

Abstract

A new formula for the ultimate ruin probability in the Cramér–Lundberg risk process is provided when the claims are assumed to follow a finite mixture of m Erlang distributions. Using the theory of recurrence sequences, the method proposed here shifts the problem of finding the ruin probability to the study of an associated characteristic polynomial and its roots. The found formula is given by a finite sum of terms, one for each root of the polynomial, and allows for yet another approximation of the ruin probability. No constraints are assumed on the multiplicity of the roots and that is illustrated via a couple of numerical examples.

Keywords

T57-57.97, Applied mathematics. Quantitative methods, 91G05, Cramér–Lundberg risk model, 91B05, recurrence sequences, Erlang mixture distribution, Risk models (general), Actuarial mathematics, QA1-939, Recurrences, ruin probability, Cramér-Lundberg risk model, Mathematics

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
3
Top 10%
Average
Average
gold