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Civil Engineering Journal
Article . 2016 . Peer-reviewed
License: CC BY NC
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Civil Engineering Journal
Article
License: CC BY
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Civil Engineering Journal
Article . 2016
Data sources: DOAJ
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NEGATIVE INTEREST RATES AND HOUSING BUBBLES

Authors: Dominik Stroukal; Božena Kadeřábková;

NEGATIVE INTEREST RATES AND HOUSING BUBBLES

Abstract

In years after the financial crisis economists started to propose negative interest rates as away how to escape from a liquidity trap. Negative interest rate was considered to be impossible butfew countries have already set them below the lower zero bound. However, it has been done onlyin the central banks but not in the commercial banks. The main thesis of this paper is that lowinterest rates can inflate a housing bubble and as a result negative interest rates would only inflateit more. First, proposals how to make interest rate negative even in commercial banking arepresented in the paper. Then we discuss general consequences of negative interest rates such asredistribution, initiation of a business cycle and most importantly, inflation. Finally, we look at thehousing market and present theoretical and some empirical evidence of a possible ongoing bubble.The theory suggests that the negative interest rate would inflate the bubble necessarily.Consequences of a later decrease of housing prices have to be taken into account whenevernegative interest rates are proposed.

Keywords

business cycle, housing market, transmission mechanism, TA1-2040, Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General), Negative interest rate

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
1
Average
Average
Average
Published in a Diamond OA journal