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Timescales of influenza A/H3N2 antibody dynamics

Authors: Adam J. Kucharski; Justin Lessler; Derek A. T. Cummings; Steven Riley;
APC: 2,483.77 EUR

Timescales of influenza A/H3N2 antibody dynamics

Abstract

Abstract Human immunity influences the evolution and impact of novel influenza strains. Because individuals are infected with multiple influenza strains during their lifetime and each virus can generate a cross-reactive antibody response, it is challenging to quantify the processes that shape observed immune responses, or to reliably detect recent infection from serological samples. Using a Bayesian model of antibody dynamics at multiple timescales, we explain complex cross-reactive antibody landscapes by inferring participants’ histories of infection with serological data from cross-sectional and longitudinal studies of influenza A/H3N2 in southern China and Vietnam. We show an individual’s influenza antibody profile can be explained by a short-lived, broadly cross-reactive response that decays within a year to leave a smaller long-term response acting against a narrower range of strains. We also demonstrate that accounting for dynamic immune responses can provide a more accurate alternative to traditional definitions seroconversion for the estimation of infection attack rates. Our work provides a general model for explaining mechanisms of influenza immunity acting at multiple timescales based on contemporary serological data, and suggests a two-armed immune response to influenza infection consistent with competitive dynamics between B cell populations. This approach to analysing multiple timescales for antigenic responses could also be applied to other multi-strain pathogens such as dengue and related flaviviruses.

Country
United Kingdom
Keywords

Life Sciences & Biomedicine - Other Topics, Biochemistry & Molecular Biology, STRAIN, China, Time Factors, QH301-705.5, VIRUSES, 610, Cross Reactions, PANDEMIC INFLUENZA, Antibodies, Viral, Antibodies, 07 Agricultural and Veterinary Sciences, INFECTION, Influenza, Human, Influenza A Virus, EPIDEMIOLOGY, Humans, Viral, Longitudinal Studies, Biology (General), Biology, SPECIFICITY, 11 Medical and Health Sciences, B-Lymphocytes, Science & Technology, H2N2, Immune Sera, Influenza A Virus, H3N2 Subtype, Vaccination, Immunity, Humoral, Bayes Theorem, 06 Biological Sciences, Influenza, Immunity, Humoral, Cross-Sectional Studies, Vietnam, Influenza Vaccines, H3N2 Subtype, IMMUNE HISTORY, Life Sciences & Biomedicine, Human, RESPONSES, Developmental Biology, Research Article

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    selected citations
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    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    60
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Top 10%
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
60
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 10%
Green
gold