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Asean Economic Bulletin
Article . 2009 . Peer-reviewed
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Macro Volatility and Financial Crisis in Thailand: Some Historical Evidence

Authors: Pholphirul, Piriya;

Macro Volatility and Financial Crisis in Thailand: Some Historical Evidence

Abstract

This paper uses national income identity to explain the causal relationships among Thailand’s aggregate volatility, deficient financial structure, financial liberalization, and financial crisis in this country. Relatively good macroeconomic policies and diversified structure were able to compensate for financial imperfections and weak corporate governance in the financial sector in the period 1970–90. Under these conditions, real GDP growth was positive, inflation was relatively low, and consumption was relatively less volatile than GDP. The 1997 crisis, however, severely affected the ability of central authorities to smooth fluctuation. Investment and consumption volatility increased substantially. This implies that, when counter-cyclical policies are difficult to implement and incomplete markets exist, it is much more difficult to stabilize consumption.

Country
United States
Related Organizations
Keywords

Restructuring, Saving and Capital Investment, Economic Development: Financial Markets, 330, Cycles E320, Corporate Finance and Governance O160, Business Fluctuations, Fiscal and Monetary Policy in Development O230, Mergers, Acquisitions, Corporate Governance G340, Proxy Contests, Voting, Macroeconomics: Production E230, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy E440, Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development O110, Financial Markets [Economic Development], Production E230 [Macroeconomics]

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    popularity
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    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
3
Average
Average
Average
Green