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Journal of money credit and banking
Article . 2006 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3...
Article . 2003 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
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Macro Factors and the Term Structure of Interest Rates

Authors: Dewachter, Hans; Lyrio, Marco;

Macro Factors and the Term Structure of Interest Rates

Abstract

This paper presents an essentially affine model of the term structure of interest rates making use of macroeconomic factors and their long-run expectations. The model extends the approach pioneered by Kozicki and Tinsley (2001) by modeling consistently long-run inflation expectations simultaneously with the term structure. Application to the U.S. economy shows the importance of long-run inflation expectations in the modeling of long-term bond yields. The paper also provides a macroeconomic interpretation for the latent factors found in standard finance models of the yield curve: the "level" factor represents the long-run inflation expectation of agents; the "slope" factor captures business cycle conditions; and the "curvature" factor expresses a clear independent monetary policy factor.

Country
Netherlands
Keywords

essentially affine term structure model, macroeconomic factors, long-run market expectations, monetary policy rule, Essentially affine term structure model, long-run market expectations, macroeconomic factors, monetary policy rule, jel: jel:M, jel: jel:M41, jel: jel:G3, jel: jel:E43, jel: jel:E44, jel: jel:E52

  • BIP!
    Impact byBIP!
    selected citations
    These citations are derived from selected sources.
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    187
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Top 1%
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
Powered by OpenAIRE graph
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
187
Top 10%
Top 1%
Top 10%
bronze