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Brookings Papers on Economic Activity
Article . 2007 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2007 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
EconStor
Research . 2007
Data sources: EconStor
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Foreign Capital and Economic Growth

Authors: Eswar S. Prasad; Raghuram G. Rajan; Arvind Subramanian;

Foreign Capital and Economic Growth

Abstract

We document the recent phenomenon of uphill flows of capital from nonindustrial to industrial countries and analyze whether this pattern of capital flows has hurt growth in nonindustrial economies that export capital. Surprisingly, we find that there is a positive correlation between current account balances and growth among nonindustrial countries, implying that a reduced reliance on foreign capital is associated with higher growth. This result is weaker when we use panel data rather than cross-sectional averages over long periods of time, but in no case do we find any evidence that an increase in foreign capital inflows directly boosts growth. What explains these results, which are contrary to the predictions of conventional theoretical models? We provide some evidence that even successful developing countries have limited absorptive capacity for foreign resources, either because their financial markets are underdeveloped, or because their economies are prone to overvaluation caused by rapid capital inflows.

Keywords

Wirtschaftswachstum, North-South capital flows, ddc:330, Leistungsbilanz, Foreign capital, economic growth, macroeconomics, foreign finance, Schwellenländer, financial globalization, F3, Kapitalimport, Entwicklungsländer, jel: jel:F21, jel: jel:F32, jel: jel:F43, jel: jel:O4, jel: jel:E2, jel: jel:F3, jel: jel:F4, jel: jel:O16

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    selected citations
    These citations are derived from selected sources.
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    379
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 1%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Top 1%
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 1%
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
379
Top 1%
Top 1%
Top 1%
bronze