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Manufacturing & Service Operations Management
Article . 2024 . Peer-reviewed
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SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2022 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
DBLP
Article . 2024
Data sources: DBLP
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Competition in Optimal Stopping: Behavioral Insights

Authors: Ignacio Rios; Pramit Ghosh;

Competition in Optimal Stopping: Behavioral Insights

Abstract

Problem definition: We study settings where agents sequentially search among different options under competition. Motivated by labor markets and the allocation of kidneys from deceased donors, we focus on the effect of (i) the mechanism to collect decisions, that is, whether all agents make their decisions simultaneously or sequentially, and (ii) competition, that is, the number of agents who are searching from a shared pool of options. Methodology/results: We introduce a model of sequential search under competition, in which agents are exogenously prioritized and must decide when to stop their search to maximize the chosen option’s value. We characterize the optimal policy, which defines a sequence of thresholds that dictates when each agent should accept an option based on their priority relative to others still searching and the number of remaining options. Our analysis reveals that neither the mechanism for collecting agents’ decisions nor the number of lower-priority agents influences the optimal policy. To test these predictions, we designed and conducted a laboratory experiment replicating our theoretical model. The results indicate significant deviations from the optimal policy. Moreover, we find that the mechanism significantly affects agents’ decisions due to primarily two drivers: (i) saliency of competition and (ii) frustration. Finally, we identify an “illusion of competition” effect, whereby agents use significantly lower thresholds when the number of agents with lower priority increases. Managerial implications: Our results show that a higher perception of competition and using a simultaneous mechanism (i.e., batch offering) significantly decrease the thresholds that agents use to guide their search, making them stop their search earlier. Thus, clearinghouses that suffer from inefficient discard of options should increase the saliency of competition and use batch offerings to reduce agents’ selectivity and mitigate waste. Supplemental Material: The online appendices are available at https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.2022.0621 .

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
5
Top 10%
Average
Average
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