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Management Science
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First-Order and Second-Order Ambiguity Aversion

Authors: Matthias Lang;

First-Order and Second-Order Ambiguity Aversion

Abstract

Different models of uncertainty aversion imply strikingly different economic behavior. The key to understanding these differences lies in the dichotomy between first-order and second-order ambiguity aversion, which I define here. My definition and its characterization are independent of specific representations of decisions under uncertainty. I show that with second-order ambiguity aversion, a positive exposure to ambiguity is optimal if and only if there is a subjective belief such that the act’s expected outcome is positive. With first-order ambiguity aversion, zero exposure to ambiguity can be optimal. Examples in finance, insurance, and contracting demonstrate the economic relevance of this dichotomy. This paper was accepted by Han Bleichrodt, decision analysis.

Keywords

ddc:330, D81, D82, Uncertainty Aversion, Ambiguity, Smooth Ambiguity Aversion, Sub-jective Beliefs, Kinked preferences, uncertainty aversion, ambiguity, D01, G11, sub-jective beliefs, kinked preferences, smooth ambiguity aversion, jel: jel:D81, jel: jel:D82, jel: jel:D01, jel: jel:G11

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
20
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 10%
bronze