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Dynamic Econometric Models
Article . 2015 . Peer-reviewed
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Dynamic Econometric Models
Article
License: CC BY ND
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The EURPLN, DAX and WIG20: The Granger Causality Tests Before and During the Crisis

Authors: Ewa M. Syczewska;

The EURPLN, DAX and WIG20: The Granger Causality Tests Before and During the Crisis

Abstract

In this paper the possible interdependence between bilateral exchange rate behavior and the corresponding stock indices is checked, with application to the EURPLN rate and the DAX and WIG20 stock indices. Methods and results are similar to previous study of USDPLN exchange rate, and SP500 and WIG20 indices. The linear (including instantaneous) causality test and the Diks-Panchenko test are applied to logarithmic returns and to the daily measure of volatility r(t) = ln(P(max,t)/P(min, t)) . Differences between before- and during-crisis period results are less vivid than in case of the U.S. and the Polish instruments. But there is a substantial difference between linear (and Diks-Panchenko) test results and the instantaneous Granger-causality test results, on the other hand – between returns and daily volatility.

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Keywords

Exchange rates, stock indices, financial crisis, risk, Granger causality, instantaneous causality, Diks-Panchenko test, jel: jel:G19, jel: jel:C4

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
1
Average
Average
Average
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