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American Economic Journal Macroeconomics
Article . 2009 . Peer-reviewed
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SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2006 . Peer-reviewed
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On the Sources of the Great Moderation

Authors: Jordi Galí; Luca Gambetti;

On the Sources of the Great Moderation

Abstract

The Great Moderation in the US economy has been accompanied by large changes in the comovements among output, hours, and labor productivity. Those changes are reflected in both conditional and unconditional second moments as well as in the impulse responses to identified shocks. Among other changes, our findings point to an increase in the volatility of hours relative to output, a shrinking contribution of nontechnology shocks to output volatility, and a change in the cyclical response of labor productivity to those shocks. That evidence suggests a more complex picture than that associated with “good luck” explanations of the Great Moderation. (JEL: E23, E24, J22, J24)

Countries
Italy, Spain
Keywords

Great Moderation, structural VAR, technology shocks, monetary policy rules, labor hoarding, technology shocks, great moderation, labor hoarding, structural var, Macroeconomics and International Economics, Great Moderation; Labour hoarding; Monetary policy rules; Structural VARs; Technology Shocks, monetary policy rules, jel: jel:E32, jel: jel:E23, jel: jel:E24, jel: jel:J24, jel: jel:J22

  • BIP!
    Impact byBIP!
    selected citations
    These citations are derived from selected sources.
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    163
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Top 1%
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
163
Top 10%
Top 1%
Top 10%
Green
bronze