
doi: 10.1162/rest_a_00261
This paper proposes an iterative procedure to discriminate between structural breaks in the coefficients and the disturbance covariance matrix of a system of equations, with recursive procedures then identifying individual coefficient shifts and separating volatility from correlation breaks. Structural breaks in short-term cross-country inflation relations are then examined for major G-7 economies and within the euro area. There is evidence that the euro area leads inflation in North America, while changing short-term interactions apply within the euro area. Covariability generally increases from the late 1990s, while euro-area countries move from essentially idiosyncratic contemporaneous variation to comovement in the 1980s.
EUR ESE 33, inflation, international dynamics, structural breaks, EUR ESE 31, jel: jel:C32, jel: jel:E31
EUR ESE 33, inflation, international dynamics, structural breaks, EUR ESE 31, jel: jel:C32, jel: jel:E31
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