
doi: 10.1137/0108051
below which is slightly more general than Palm’s, and a somewhat different approach is adopted. The viewpoint is more particularly taken here that the problem is in the nature of a probabilistic limit theorem, and that accordingly the addition of independent variables and the central limit theorem is a useful prototype. In fact, the proof given below for the existence of an exponential limit distribution is patterned after one by Kolmogorov and Gnedenko [3] for the central limit theorem. The presentation is organized as follows. Section 2 introduces some relevant concepts of renewal theory and of reliability. Section 3 contains the statement and proof of the theorem which asserts in effect that a complex piece of equipment, after an extended period of operation, will tend to exhibit a failure pattern with an exponential distribution for the time between failures. In 4, it is shown that a similar line of reasoning leads to conditions which insure that the time up to the first failure is also nearly exponentially distributed. Section 5 contains another parallel to the addition of random variables, namely, an asymptotic expansion of the Edgeworth-type for some of the distributions involved. Section 6, finally, contains comments on the results obtained, related to practical applications and to extensions of the theory.
Applications of Markov renewal processes (reliability, queueing networks, etc.)
Applications of Markov renewal processes (reliability, queueing networks, etc.)
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