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Journal of Epidemiology & Community Health
Article . 2002 . Peer-reviewed
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Challenges in dia-prognostic research

Authors: J A, Knottnerus;

Challenges in dia-prognostic research

Abstract

The relevance of design issues and new methods It is sad to comment on work of a founding father of clinical epidemiology, who so profoundly enjoyed the scientific debate, without him being able to respond. But it is not only sad, it is also a great honour to have the opportunity to discuss one of the last pieces of this great architect of clinical research.1 The points made by Alvan Feinstein are clear and I agree with most of his analysis, but some additional challenges should be emphasised. Indeed, apart from interpretative problems, “nosological indices” such as sensitivity and specificity are problematic as they will vary with the spectrum and selection of patients.2–4 However, also “diagnostic indices” (predictive accuracy) are not constants. Taking account of all relevant covariables is, if at all useful, generally impossible because many of these are not clear, unmeasurable, or too particularistic for a useful general evaluation. So, we must not overemphasise the value of diagnostic indices. And where we use them, we must be very specific as to objective, context, and setting. We should also be keen on setting specific external validation when we want to generalise observed index values for clinical purposes. Acknowledging all this, it cannot be denied that for clinical and epidemiological purposes there is often a need to use “nosological indices” to communicate general characteristics of a test. Also Feinstein did …

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Keywords

Research Design, Data Interpretation, Statistical, Humans, Prognosis, Sensitivity and Specificity, Diagnostic Techniques and Procedures

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    popularity
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    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
18
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 10%
bronze