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Interpretation of recent trends in Antarctic sea ice concentration

Authors: Donald H. Lenschow; Na Li; Mingyu Zhou; Huiding Wu; Lejiang Yu; Lejiang Yu; Shiyuan Zhong; +3 Authors

Interpretation of recent trends in Antarctic sea ice concentration

Abstract

We investigate seasonal trends in sea ice concentration and the relative contributions of the Antarctic Oscillation (AAO), the Pacific-South American two modes (PSA1 and PSA2), and the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). The summer range of the trend in the Antarctic sea ice is the largest, from −83.8% to 59.6% per 29 yr over the period of 1979 through 2007, while the autumn range is the least, from −49.7% to 39.6% per 29 yr for the period of 1979 through 2007. In autumn, among the four indices the largest contribution to the trend in sea ice is the AAO; in winter the ENSO and the PSA1 are better than the other two indices; during spring and summer a change of more than 15% per 29 yr is associated with PSA1. No matter the season, the spatial pattern of the residual trend is similar to that of the total trend; moreover, the combined trends of the four indices only explains less than one-third of the total trend.

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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
5
Average
Average
Average
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