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Review of Policy Research
Article . 2025 . Peer-reviewed
License: CC BY
Data sources: Crossref
https://dx.doi.org/10.22028/d2...
Article . 2026
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
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The Role of Uncertainty in the Policy Process: An Extension to the Multiple Streams Framework

Authors: Sebastian Hemesath; Georg Wenzelburger;

The Role of Uncertainty in the Policy Process: An Extension to the Multiple Streams Framework

Abstract

ABSTRACT A core assumption of the Multiple Streams Framework proposes that agenda and policy change is more probable when a policy proposal worked out as a viable alternative in the policy stream is coupled with the political and/or problem stream in an open policy window. In this article, we argue that this perspective hinges on a too narrow understanding of the concept of ambiguity, which ignores situations of high epistemic uncertainty in which worked‐out solutions are not readily available in the policy streams, but policy action still occurs. For instance, when a policy window has been opened in the problem stream due to the presence of a focusing event. Building on the literature on how decisions under uncertainty are taken, we propose that policy‐makers will utilize “ad‐hoc solutions” as satisficing strategies, such as the precautionary principle, which will then guide political decisions. Which heuristics are available may depend on different factors, such as the basic normative values of a decision‐maker herself, national cultures of a country, or situation‐specific characteristics.

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Keywords

policy process, knowledge utilization, multiple streams framework, policymaking, uncertainty, 300

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
1
Average
Average
Average
hybrid