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image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
Risk Analysis
Article . 2026 . Peer-reviewed
License: Wiley Online Library User Agreement
Data sources: Crossref
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On the Concept of Inherent Core Damage Frequency: a Framework for Residual Risk Floors in Seismic Probabilistic Safety Assessment

Authors: Pramod Kumar Sharma;

On the Concept of Inherent Core Damage Frequency: a Framework for Residual Risk Floors in Seismic Probabilistic Safety Assessment

Abstract

ABSTRACT In seismic probabilistic safety assessment (SPSA), ongoing efforts to reduce core damage frequency (CDF) encounter fundamental limitations due to modeling saturation, epistemic uncertainties, and the diminishing contribution of extremely low‐probability events. This paper introduces and develops the concept of “inherent CDF”—a residual risk floor that persists when further reductions in CDF become practically or physically unattainable despite best‐estimate modeling and conservative design. Drawing from recent literature, regulatory philosophy, and structural fragility modeling, the paper synthesizes the rationale for formalizing this floor within seismic PSA methodology. A conceptual framework is proposed to identify, justify, and declare the inherent CDF based on hazard‐fragility convolution, uncertainty bounds, and plateauing risk behaviour at high ground motions. The implications for licensing, risk‐informed decision‐making, and safety optimization are examined, along with potential extensions to multi‐hazard PSA domains. This study advocates for the integration of residual risk acknowledgment into modern safety frameworks, providing a technically grounded and transparent foundation for defining acceptable seismic risk in nuclear power plants.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
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