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Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics
Article . 2018 . Peer-reviewed
License: Wiley Online Library User Agreement
Data sources: Crossref
https://dx.doi.org/10.60692/1r...
Other literature type . 2017
Data sources: Datacite
https://dx.doi.org/10.60692/ns...
Other literature type . 2017
Data sources: Datacite
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A Better Understanding of Granger Causality Analysis: A Big Data Environment

فهم أفضل لتحليل سببية جرانجر: بيئة البيانات الضخمة
Authors: Xiaojun Song; Abderrahim Taamouti;

A Better Understanding of Granger Causality Analysis: A Big Data Environment

Abstract

AbstractThis paper aims to provide a better understanding of the causal structure in a multivariate time series by introducing several statistical procedures for testing indirect and spurious causal effects. In practice, detecting these effects is a complicated task, since the auxiliary variables that transmit/induce indirect/spurious causality are very often unknown. The availability of hundreds of economic variables makes this task even more difficult since it is generally infeasible to find the appropriate auxiliary variables among all the available ones. In addition, including hundreds of variables and their lags in a regression equation is technically difficult. The paper proposes several statistical procedures to test for the presence of indirect/spurious causality based on big data analysis. Furthermore, it suggests an identification procedure to find the variables that transmit/induce the indirect/spurious causality. Finally, it provides an empirical application where 135 economic variables were used to study a possible indirect causality from money/credit to income.

Country
United Kingdom
Related Organizations
Keywords

Pattern Classification, 330, Economics, Physics, Social Sciences, Neural Network Fundamentals and Applications, Management Science and Operations Research, Computer science, Quantum mechanics, Decision Sciences, Data science, FOS: Economics and business, Big data, Artificial Intelligence, Causality (physics), Computer Science, Physical Sciences, Granger causality, Time Series Forecasting Methods, Econometrics, Data mining

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    selected citations
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    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    15
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Top 10%
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
15
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 10%
Green
bronze