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Mathematical Finance
Article . 2016 . Peer-reviewed
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Article . 2018
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Article . 2013 . Peer-reviewed
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https://dx.doi.org/10.48550/ar...
Article . 2013
License: arXiv Non-Exclusive Distribution
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SOCIAL DISCOUNTING AND THE LONG RATE OF INTEREST

Social discounting and the long rate of interest
Authors: Brody, DC; Hughston, LP;

SOCIAL DISCOUNTING AND THE LONG RATE OF INTEREST

Abstract

AbstractThe well‐known theorem of Dybvig, Ingersoll, and Ross shows that the long zero‐coupon rate can never fall. This result, which, although undoubtedly correct, has been regarded by many as surprising, stems from the implicit assumption that the long‐term discount function has an exponential tail. We revisit the problem in the setting of modern interest rate theory, and show that if the long “simple” interest rate (or Libor rate) is finite, then this rate (unlike the zero‐coupon rate) acts viably as a state variable, the value of which can fluctuate randomly in line with other economic indicators. New interest rate models are constructed, under this hypothesis and certain generalizations thereof, that illustrate explicitly the good asymptotic behavior of the resulting discount bond systems. The conditions necessary for the existence of such “hyperbolic” and “generalized hyperbolic” long rates are those of so‐called social discounting, which allow for long‐term cash flows to be treated as broadly “just as important” as those of the short or medium term. As a consequence, we are able to provide a consistent arbitrage‐free valuation framework for the cost‐benefit analysis and risk management of long‐term social projects, such as those associated with sustainable energy, resource conservation, and climate change.

Country
United Kingdom
Keywords

Hyperbolic discount function, Applications of statistics to actuarial sciences and financial mathematics, 330, hyperbolic discount function, long rate, Pricing kernel, social discounting, 332, FOS: Economics and business, Asymptotic properties of nonparametric inference, Social discounting, FOS: Mathematics, interest rate models, Interest rates, asset pricing, etc. (stochastic models), Declining discount rate, pricing kernel, Probability (math.PR), Interest rate models, Long rate, declining discount rate, Pricing of Securities (q-fin.PR), Quantitative Finance - General Finance, General Finance (q-fin.GN), Quantitative Finance - Pricing of Securities, Dybvig-Ingersoll-Ross theorem, Mathematics - Probability

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
15
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 10%
Green
bronze