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Journal of money credit and banking
Article . 2025 . Peer-reviewed
License: CC BY
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SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2023 . Peer-reviewed
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SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2017 . Peer-reviewed
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EconStor
Research . 2014
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Financial Fragility and the Fiscal Multiplier

Authors: van Wijnbergen, S.; van der Kwaak, C.;

Financial Fragility and the Fiscal Multiplier

Abstract

AbstractWe show that undercapitalized banks with large holdings of government bonds subject to sovereign default risk lead to a new crowding‐out channel: deficit‐financed fiscal stimuli lead to higher bond yields, triggering capital losses for the banks. Banks then cut back loans, which reduces fiscal multipliers. Crowding out increases for longer maturity bonds and higher sovereign default risk. We estimate a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model with financial frictions for Spain and find strong support for these results. The cumulative multiplier decreases substantially with the size of the stimulus, and with the amount of time between the announcement and implementation of the stimulus.

Country
Netherlands
Keywords

330, Macrofinancial Fragility, ddc:330, Financial Intermediation; Macrofinancial Fragility; Fiscal Policy; Sovereign Default Risk, Fiscal Policy, Financial Intermediation, Financial Intermediation, Macrofinancial Fragility, Fiscal Policy, Sovereign Default Risk, E44, H30, E62, Sovereign Default Risk, jel: jel:E62, jel: jel:E44, jel: jel:H30

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    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
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    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
2
Average
Average
Average
hybrid