
Abstract As land use intensifies globally, it increasingly exerts pressure on protected areas. Despite open, nonforested landscapes comprising up to 40% of protected areas globally, assessments have predominately focused on forests, overlooking the major pressures on rangelands from livestock overgrazing and land conversion. Across the southern Caucasus, a biodiversity hotspot extending over 5 countries, we conducted a broadscale assessment of the extent to which protected areas mitigate land‐use pressure on rangelands in them. Using satellite‐based indicators of rangeland vegetation greenness from 1988 to 2019, we assessed the effectiveness of 52 protected areas. This period encompassed the collapse of the Soviet Union, economic crises, armed conflicts, and a major expansion of the protected area network. We applied matching statistics combined with fixed‐effects panel regressions to quantify the effectiveness of protected areas in curbing degradation as indicated by green vegetation loss. Protected areas were, overall, largely ineffective. Green vegetation loss was higher inside than outside protected areas in most countries, except for Georgia and Turkey. Multiple‐use protected areas (IUCN categories IV–VI) were even more ineffective in reducing vegetation loss than strictly protected areas (I & II), highlighting the need for better aligning conservation and development targets in these areas. Mapping >10,000 livestock corrals from satellite images showed that protected areas with a relatively high density of livestock corrals had markedly high green vegetation loss. Ineffectiveness appeared driven by livestock overgrazing. Our key finding was that protected areas did not curb rangeland degradation in the Caucasus. This situation is likely emblematic of many regions worldwide, which highlights the need to incorporate degradation and nonforest ecosystems into effectiveness assessments.
Conservation of Natural Resources, estadística de concordancia, impact evaluation, 匹配统计, estepas, presión de pastoreo, 关键词: 草原, Georgia (Republic), puntos calientes de biodiversidad, grazing pressure, 土地退化, matching statistics, steppes, biodiversity hotspots, 放牧, land degradation, grasslands, evaluación de impacto, 干草原, pastoreo de ganado, livestock grazing, Biodiversity, 放牧压力, 生物多样性热点地区, Contributed Paper, pastizales, 影响评估, degradación del suelo
Conservation of Natural Resources, estadística de concordancia, impact evaluation, 匹配统计, estepas, presión de pastoreo, 关键词: 草原, Georgia (Republic), puntos calientes de biodiversidad, grazing pressure, 土地退化, matching statistics, steppes, biodiversity hotspots, 放牧, land degradation, grasslands, evaluación de impacto, 干草原, pastoreo de ganado, livestock grazing, Biodiversity, 放牧压力, 生物多样性热点地区, Contributed Paper, pastizales, 影响评估, degradación del suelo
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