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image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao IEEE Control Systems...arrow_drop_down
image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
IEEE Control Systems Magazine
Article . 2007 . Peer-reviewed
License: IEEE Copyright
Data sources: Crossref
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Electric Load Forecasting

Electric Load Forecasting

Abstract

This article illustrates the application of a nonlinear system identification technique to the problem of STLF. Five NARX models are estimated using fixed-size LS-SVM, and two of the models are later modified into AR-NARX structures following the exploration of the residuals. The forecasting performance, assessed for different load series, is satisfactory. The MSE levels on the test data are below 3% in most cases. The models estimated with fixed-size LS-SVM give better results than a linear model estimated with the same variables and also better than a standard LS-SVM in dual space estimated using only the last 1000 data points. Furthermore, the good performance of the fixed-size LS-SVM is obtained based on a subset of M = 1000 initial support vectors, representing a small fraction of the available sample. Further research on a more dedicated definition of the initial input variables (for example, incorporation of external variables to reflect industrial activity, use of explicit seasonal information) might lead to further improvements and the extension toward other types of load series.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
102
Top 1%
Top 1%
Top 10%
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