
This paper is a study of methods of predicting the number of breaking and enterings (B&Es) in subcity regions of Richmond, Virginia. In this study, predictions are made for B&Es in each of four precincts as well as in regions measuring approximately 0.64 square miles. These predictions can be helpful to police efforts by helping them more effectively allocate resources. The paper includes investigation into the distribution of incidents of breaking and entering, which concludes that B&Es are not Poisson distributed. Furthermore, in the analysis of the data, incidents of B&Es also do not show evidence of seasonal patterns. The research investigates factors that many believe are related to crime, such as unemployment rates, previous incidents of crimes, and alcohol sales.
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