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Rockburst Prediction Using Gaussian Process Machine Learning

Authors: Guo-Shao Su; Ke-Shi Zhang; Zhi Chen;

Rockburst Prediction Using Gaussian Process Machine Learning

Abstract

Rockburst is a geological disaster occurred usually in deep mines. Because of poor understanding of the mechanism and influence factors of rockbust, it is very difficult to give accurate prediction using conventional methods. A new model based on Gaussian process (GP), which is a probabilistic kernel machine leaning and has become a power tool for solving highly nonlinear problems, therefore, is proposed. At first, case histories of rockburst occurrence with the real records of rockburst intensity and influence factors of rockbust are collected and are taken as prior knowledge to be learned by GP binary classification machine learning tech, where, maximum tangential stress in surround rockmass, uniaxial compressive strength, tensile strength of rock, and rockburst tendency index of rock, which can reflect the internal and exterior conditions of rockburst occurrence nicely are suggested to be main influential factors of rockburst. Then, the nonlinear mapping relationship between rockburst intensity and its influence factors can be established easily by GP model. Finally, prediction for the novel conditions in deep mines can be obtained using the model. The new model is applied in prediction for rockburt intensity at practical projects in China, Norway and USSR. Results of case study show the model is feasible, effective and simple to implement for rockburst prediction.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
5
Average
Average
Average
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