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Dynamic aggregation for time series forecasting

Authors: Sam Iosevich; Georgiy Arutyunyants; Z. Hou;

Dynamic aggregation for time series forecasting

Abstract

The proliferation of data has led to demand sensing and shaping at the most granular product and geography levels. This has led to a need to optimize tens and many times hundreds of millions of geography product treatments on a weekly basis. The amount of data has overwhelmed the ability to monitor individual recommendations, even by exception. In this scenario, it is imperative that the underlying demand modeling process be as stable as it is highly accurate. The methodology is geared towards automated forecasting systems with large amounts of time series inputs of varying volume and volatility. These systems are often encountered in Retail and Consumer Packaged Goods (CPG) applications such as replenishment and pricing. This paper outlines a dynamic modeling approach that produces stable and highly accurate demand forecasts.

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Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
2
Average
Average
Average
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