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An Adaptive Short-Term Prediction Algorithm for Resource Demands in Cloud Computing

Authors: Jing Chen 0030; Yinglong Wang 0001;

An Adaptive Short-Term Prediction Algorithm for Resource Demands in Cloud Computing

Abstract

Cloud computing has been widely applied in various fields with the development of big data and artificial intelligence. The associated resource demands exhibit characteristics such as diversity, large scale, burst and uncertainty. This paper analyzes these characteristics of cloud resource demands based on Alibaba cluster data, and proposes an adaptive short-term prediction algorithm for those demands. The proposed algorithm uses a principal component analysis method to extract the primary types of container demands from a time series of resource demands, and executes outlier detection and replacement to obtain a more stationary sequence. An adaptive short-term prediction strategy is proposed to adaptively select a higher-accuracy short-term prediction method to implement the prediction. Further, an error adjustment factor is proposed to reduce the prediction error. Thus, the short-term prediction accuracy of cloud resource demands is improved via outlier detection and replacement, an adaptive selection strategy and an error adjustment. We evaluated the effectiveness of these improvements, and compared our algorithm with existing algorithms in terms of effectiveness and time cost. The experimental results demonstrate that the proposed algorithm improves short-term prediction accuracy effectively.

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Keywords

adaptive selection strategy, Cloud computing, Electrical engineering. Electronics. Nuclear engineering, error adjustment, short-term prediction, cloud resource demand, TK1-9971

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    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    6
    popularity
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    Top 10%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
6
Top 10%
Average
Average
gold