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Deep Forest Regression for Short-Term Load Forecasting of Power Systems

Authors: Linfei Yin; Zhixiang Sun; Fang Gao 0001; Hui Liu 0014;

Deep Forest Regression for Short-Term Load Forecasting of Power Systems

Abstract

Deep neural networks of deep learning algorithms can be applied into regressions and classifications. While the regression performances and classification performances of the deep neural networks are depending on the hyper-parameters of the deep neural networks. To mitigate the adverse effect of the hyper-parameters for the deep learning algorithms, this paper proposes deep forest regression for the short-term load forecasting of power systems. Deep forest regression includes two procedures, i.e., multi-grained scanning procedure and cascade forest procedure. These two procedures can be effectively trained by two completely random forests and two random forests with the default configuration. Then, the deep forest regression is applied into the short-term load forecasting of power systems. The forecasting performances of deep forest regression are compared with that of numerous intelligent algorithms and conventional regression algorithms under the model with the data of previous 7-day, 21-day, and 40-day. Besides, the forecasting performances of deep forest regression with different parameters are compared. The numerical results show that the deep forest regression with default configured parameters can increase the accuracy of the short-term forecasting and mitigate the influences of the experiences for the configuration of the hyper-parameters of deep learning model.

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Keywords

multi-grained scanning procedure, Deep forest regression, short-term load forecasting, Electrical engineering. Electronics. Nuclear engineering, cascade forest procedure, TK1-9971

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
65
Top 1%
Top 10%
Top 1%
gold