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Physical Review E
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Physical Review E
Article . 2004 . Peer-reviewed
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Article . 2003
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Extinction in population dynamics

Authors: Javier Buceta; F. J. de la Rubia; Katja Lindenberg; Carlos Escudero;

Extinction in population dynamics

Abstract

We study a generic reaction-diffusion model for single-species population dynamics that includes reproduction, death, and competition. The population is assumed to be confined in a refuge beyond which conditions are so harsh that they lead to certain extinction. Standard continuum mean field models in one dimension yield a critical refuge length L_c such that a population in a refuge larger than this is assured survival. Herein we extend the model to take into account the discreteness and finiteness of the population, which leads us to a stochastic description. We present a particular critical criterion for likely extinction, namely, that the standard deviation of the population be equal to the mean. According to this criterion, we find that while survival can no longer be guaranteed for any refuge size, for sufficiently weak competition one can make the refuge large enough (certainly larger than L_c) to cause extinction to be unlikely. However, beyond a certain value of the competition rate parameter it is no longer possible to escape a likelihood of extinction even in an infinite refuge. These unavoidable fluctuations therefore have a severe impact on refuge design issues.

Keywords

Competitive Behavior, Models, Statistical, Statistical Mechanics (cond-mat.stat-mech), Population Dynamics, Populations and Evolution (q-bio.PE), FOS: Physical sciences, Reproductive Behavior, Biological Evolution, Models, Biological, Survival Analysis, Nonlinear Sciences - Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems, FOS: Biological sciences, Animals, Humans, Computer Simulation, Mortality, Quantitative Biology - Populations and Evolution, Birth Rate, Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems (nlin.AO), Condensed Matter - Statistical Mechanics, Ecosystem

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    Top 10%
    influence
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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
45
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 10%
Green
bronze