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Proceedings of the Royal Society A Mathematical Physical and Engineering Sciences
Article . 2021 . Peer-reviewed
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Neural closure models for dynamical systems

Authors: Abhinav Gupta; Pierre F. J. Lermusiaux;

Neural closure models for dynamical systems

Abstract

Complex dynamical systems are used for predictions in many domains. Because of computational costs, models are truncated, coarsened or aggregated. As the neglected and unresolved terms become important, the utility of model predictions diminishes. We develop a novel, versatile and rigorous methodology to learn non-Markovian closure parametrizations for known-physics/low-fidelity models using data from high-fidelity simulations. The new neural closure models augment low-fidelity models with neural delay differential equations (nDDEs), motivated by the Mori–Zwanzig formulation and the inherent delays in complex dynamical systems. We demonstrate that neural closures efficiently account for truncated modes in reduced-order-models, capture the effects of subgrid-scale processes in coarse models and augment the simplification of complex biological and physical–biogeochemical models. We find that using non-Markovian over Markovian closures improves long-term prediction accuracy and requires smaller networks. We derive adjoint equations and network architectures needed to efficiently implement the new discrete and distributed nDDEs, for any time-integration schemes and allowing non-uniformly spaced temporal training data. The performance of discrete over distributed delays in closure models is explained using information theory, and we find an optimal amount of past information for a specified architecture. Finally, we analyse computational complexity and explain the limited additional cost due to neural closure models.

Country
United States
Keywords

FOS: Computer and information sciences, J.2; I.2.m, Computer Science - Machine Learning, J.2, delay differential equations, Fluid Dynamics (physics.flu-dyn), FOS: Physical sciences, Physics - Fluid Dynamics, Dynamical Systems (math.DS), turbulence closure, ecosystem modelling, I.2.m, 68T01 (Primary) 37M05, 34A99, 86-08 (Secondary), Neutral functional-differential equations, Machine Learning (cs.LG), machine learning, FOS: Mathematics, reduced-order-model, Time series analysis of dynamical systems, Mathematics - Dynamical Systems, data assimilation

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
25
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 10%
Green
bronze