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Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C (Applied Statistics)
Article . 2025 . Peer-reviewed
License: CC BY
Data sources: Crossref
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https://dx.doi.org/10.48550/ar...
Article . 2024
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
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A data fusion model for meteorological data using the INLA-SPDE method

Authors: Stephen Jun Villejo; Sara Martino; Finn Lindgren; Janine B Illian;

A data fusion model for meteorological data using the INLA-SPDE method

Abstract

Abstract We present a data fusion model designed to address the problem of sparse observational data by incorporating numerical forecast models as an additional data source to improve predictions of key variables. This model is applied to two main meteorological data sources in the Philippines. The data fusion approach assumes that different data sources are imperfect representations of a common underlying process. Observations from weather stations follow a classical error model, while numerical weather forecasts involve both a constant multiplicative bias and an additive bias, which is spatially structured and time-varying. To perform inference, we use a Bayesian model averaging technique combined with integrated nested Laplace approximation. The model’s performance is evaluated through a simulation study, where it consistently results in better predictions and more accurate parameter estimates than models using only weather stations data or regression calibration, particularly in cases of sparse observational data. In the meteorological data application, the proposed data fusion model also outperforms these benchmark approaches, as demonstrated by leave-group-out cross-validation.

Keywords

FOS: Computer and information sciences, Applications (stat.AP), Statistics - Applications

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
2
Top 10%
Average
Average
Green
hybrid
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