
arXiv: 2012.09422
Abstract The conditional moment problem is a powerful formulation for describing structural causal parameters in terms of observables, a prominent example being instrumental variable regression. We introduce a very general class of estimators called the variational method of moments (VMM), motivated by a variational minimax reformulation of optimally weighted generalized method of moments for finite sets of moments. VMM controls infinitely for many moments characterized by flexible function classes such as neural nets and kernel methods, while provably maintaining statistical efficiency unlike existing related minimax estimators. We also develop inference algorithms and demonstrate the empirical strengths of VMM estimation and inference in experiments.
FOS: Computer and information sciences, inference, Computer Science - Machine Learning, Statistics, Econometrics (econ.EM), Mathematics - Statistics Theory, Machine Learning (stat.ML), Statistics Theory (math.ST), adversarial machine learning, Machine Learning (cs.LG), FOS: Economics and business, kernel methods, Statistics - Machine Learning, FOS: Mathematics, instrumental variable regression, conditional moment problem, structural estimation, Economics - Econometrics
FOS: Computer and information sciences, inference, Computer Science - Machine Learning, Statistics, Econometrics (econ.EM), Mathematics - Statistics Theory, Machine Learning (stat.ML), Statistics Theory (math.ST), adversarial machine learning, Machine Learning (cs.LG), FOS: Economics and business, kernel methods, Statistics - Machine Learning, FOS: Mathematics, instrumental variable regression, conditional moment problem, structural estimation, Economics - Econometrics
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