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Article . 1988 . Peer-reviewed
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Stochastic Representation of Fire Occurrence in a Wildland Fire Protection Planning Model for California

Authors: J. S. Fried; J. K. Gilless;

Stochastic Representation of Fire Occurrence in a Wildland Fire Protection Planning Model for California

Abstract

Abstract A fire occurrence module was developed for CFES-IAM Version 2, a stochastic simulation model of initial attack on wildfires in California. The module is designed to generate annual sequences of fire start times that are consistent with local fire history. A three-stage approach was employed: (1) For each day of a simulated fire season, a random draw from a Bernoulli distribution is used to determine if any fires occur; (2) if any do occur, a random draw from a geometric multiplicity distribution determines theft number; (3) ignition times for each fire are then randomly drawn from a time of day (beta or Poisson) distribution. This approach and specific distributional forms were selected after analysis of historical fire records from California's Sierra foothills and Central Valley. Fire sequences generated with the module appear to capture historical patterns with respect to diurnal distribution, interfire times, and total number of fires per year. For. Sci. 34(4):948-959.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
7
Average
Top 10%
Average
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