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zbMATH Open
Article . 1999
Data sources: zbMATH Open
The Computer Journal
Article . 1999 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
DBLP
Article . 1999
Data sources: DBLP
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Hypothesis Selection and Testing by the MDL Principle

Hypothesis selection and testing by the MDL principle
Authors: Jorma Rissanen;

Hypothesis Selection and Testing by the MDL Principle

Abstract

Summary: The central idea of the MDL (Minimum Description Length) principle is to represent a class of models (hypotheses) by a universal model capable of imitating the behavior of any model in the class. The principle calls for a model class whose representative assigns the largest probability or density to the observed data. Two examples of universal models for parametric classes \({\mathcal M}\) are the Normalized Maximum Likelihood (NML) model \[ \widehat{f} (x^n\mid {\mathcal M})= f(x^n\mid \widehat{\theta}(x^n)) \biggl/ \int_\Omega f(y^n\mid \widehat{\theta} (y^n)) dy^n, \] where \(\Omega\) is an appropriately selected set, and a mixture \[ f_w(x^n\mid {\mathcal M})= \int f(x^n\mid\theta) w(\theta) d\theta \] as a convex linear functional of the models. In this interpretation a Bayes factor \(B-f_w(x^n\mid {\mathcal M_1})/ f_v(x^n\mid{\mathcal M}_2)\) is the ratio of mixture representatives of two model classes. However, mixtures not be the best representatives, and as will be shown the NML model provides a strictly better test for the mean being zero in the Gaussian cases where the variance is known or taken as a parameter.

Keywords

Algorithmic information theory (Kolmogorov complexity, etc.), minimum description length

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
95
Top 10%
Top 1%
Top 10%
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