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Journal of Political Economy
Article . 2026 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
https://dx.doi.org/10.48550/ar...
Article . 2023
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
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Blackwell-Monotone Updating Rules

Authors: Whitmeyer, Mark;

Blackwell-Monotone Updating Rules

Abstract

An updating rule specifies how an agent reacts to information. An updating rule is Blackwell monotone if more information is always better for an agent in a decision problem and strictly Blackwell monotone if, in addition, there is always a decision problem in which more information is strictly better for an agent. Bayes' law is strictly Blackwell monotone, and I show that within a broad class of updating rules--those that distort the Bayesian posteriors in a signal-independent manner--it is the only strictly Blackwell-monotone updating rule. If an agent's decisions are evaluated non-paternalistically (according to her beliefs), the Blackwell-monotone updating rules are affine distortions of the Bayesian posteriors.

Previously titled "Bayes = Blackwell, Almost."

Keywords

FOS: Economics and business, Theoretical Economics (econ.TH), Theoretical Economics

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
1
Top 10%
Average
Average
Green