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Null Models for the Opportunity for Selection

Authors: Robin S, Waples; Thomas E, Reed;

Null Models for the Opportunity for Selection

Abstract

Abstract Crow’s ‘Opportunity for Selection’ ( I =variance in relative fitness) is an important albeit controversial eco-evolutionary concept, particularly regarding the most appropriate null model(s). Here we treat this topic in a comprehensive way by considering opportunities for both fertility selection ( I f ) and viability selection ( I m ) for discrete generations, both seasonal and lifetime reproductive success in age-structured species, and for experimental designs that include either a full or partial life cycle, with complete enumeration or random subsampling. For each scenario, a null model that includes random demographic stochasticity can be constructed that follows Crow’s initial formulation that I = I f + I m . The two components of I are qualitatively different. Whereas an adjusted I f ( Δ If ) can be computed that accounts for random demographic stochasticity in offspring number, I m cannot be similarly adjusted in the absence of data on phenotypic traits under viability selection. Including as potential parents some individuals that die before reproductive age produces an overall, zero-inflated-Poisson null model. It is always important to remember that (1) Crow’s I represents only the opportunity for selection and not selection itself, and (2) the species’ biology can lead to random stochasticity in offspring number that is either overdispersed or underdispersed compared to the Poisson (Wright-Fisher) expectation.

Keywords

Fertility, Phenotype, Reproduction, Humans, Selection, Genetic, Biological Evolution

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Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
5
Top 10%
Average
Top 10%
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