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A Longer Look at Dividend Yields

Authors: Philippe Jorion; William N. Goetzmann;

A Longer Look at Dividend Yields

Abstract

Abstract This article brings the research on survivorship together with research on predicting the stock market. A key argument of the article is that studies of long-term prediction can and should take into account the fact that a market has survived. Survival looks like a rebound, ex post. If stock market crises were always followed by rebounds, then markets would have the wonderful feature of reversing themselves after bad times, and of rising after large increases in dividend yields. Alas, history is not so kind. As a result, researchers have to account for the “bounce” when they look at countries such as the United States and the United Kingdom and also have to try to figure out what to do with the gaps and interruptions of other stock markets from other countries, should they decide to use them.

Keywords

jel: jel:G00

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    influence
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Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
72
Top 10%
Top 1%
Top 10%
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