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The Distribution of Share Price Changes

Authors: Praetz, Peter D;

The Distribution of Share Price Changes

Abstract

This paper presents both theoretical and empirical evidence about a probability distribution which describes the behavior of share price changes. Osborne's Brownian motion theory of share price changes is modified to account for the changing variance of the share market. This produces a scaled t-distribution which is an excellent fit to series of share price indices. This distribution is the only known simple distribution to fit changes in share prices. It provides a far better fit to the data than the stable Paretian, compound process, and normal distributions.

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Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
340
Top 1%
Top 0.1%
Top 10%
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