Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
addClaim

Is the Preferred-Habitat Model of the Term Structure Inconsistent with Financial Market Efficiency?

Authors: Mishkin, Frederic S;

Is the Preferred-Habitat Model of the Term Structure Inconsistent with Financial Market Efficiency?

Abstract

Pesando's (1978) paper, which has recently appeared in thisJournal, and work by Phillips and Pippenger (1976) suggest that the theory of efficient markets is a competing hypothesis with the preferred-habitat model developed in Modigliani and Sutch (1966, 1967) and Modigliani and Shiller (1973). This note will show that this view is not valid. This is an important issue because the view that market efficiency and the preferred-habitat model are mutually exclusive hypotheses can lead to mistakes in interpreting empirical work as well as to a misunderstanding of Modigliani and Shiller's seminal paper. Indeed, Modigliani and Shiller provide evidence that the preferred habitat, term structure of interest rates is consistent with bond market efficiency. Yet, the basic point raised by Phillips and Pippenger (1976) and Pesando (1978) will not be refuted by the analysis here: Market efficiency does cast doubt on the usefulness of these term-structure models in many contexts. The preferred-habitat model is represented here by the approximation:l

  • BIP!
    Impact byBIP!
    selected citations
    These citations are derived from selected sources.
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    5
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Average
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
5
Average
Average
Average
Upload OA version
Are you the author of this publication? Upload your Open Access version to Zenodo!
It’s fast and easy, just two clicks!