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Journal of Political Economy
Article . 1977 . Peer-reviewed
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Perfect Foresight, Expectational Consistency, and Macroeconomic Equilibrium

Authors: Burmeister, Edwin; Turnovsky, SJ;

Perfect Foresight, Expectational Consistency, and Macroeconomic Equilibrium

Abstract

This paper begins by introducing three alternative properties of expectations: weak consistency, strong consistency, perfect foresight. These concepts are then used to consider the relationship between beginning-of-period (stock) equilibrium and end-of-period (flow) equilibrium for both discrete and continuous time. We show that in the former case the consistency between them requires not only that there be perfect foresight in predicting certain relevant variables but also that there be no accumulation of assets. In the latter case the relationship between the two equilibria rests on much weaker conditions. They are equivalent provided expectations satisfy our assumption of weak consistency.

Country
United States
Related Organizations
Keywords

perfect foresight, weak consistency, strong consistency, Expectation properties

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    selected citations
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    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    19
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Top 10%
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
19
Average
Top 10%
Top 10%
bronze