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The Astrophysical Journal
Article . 1995 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
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https://dx.doi.org/10.48550/ar...
Article . 1994
License: arXiv Non-Exclusive Distribution
Data sources: Datacite
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Analytic Error Estimates

Authors: Gould, Andrew;

Analytic Error Estimates

Abstract

I present an analytic method for estimating the errors in fitting a distribution. A well-known theorem from statistics gives the minimum variance bound (MVB) for the uncertainty in estimating a set of parameters $��_i$, when a distribution function $F(z;��_1 ... ��_m)$ is fit to $N$ observations of the quantity(ies) $z$. For example, a power-law distribution (of two parameters $A$ and $\gaml$) is $F(z;A,\gaml) = A z^{-\gaml}$. I present the MVB in a form which is suitable for estimating uncertainties in problems of astrophysical interest. For many distributions, such as a power-law distribution or an exponential distribution in the presence of a constant background, the MVB can be evaluated in closed form. I give analytic estimates for the variances in several astrophysical problems including the gallium solar-neutrino experiments and the measurement of the polarization induced by a weak gravitational lens. I show that it is possible to make significant improvements in the accuracy of these experiments by making simple adjustments in how they are carried out or analyzed. The actual variance may be above the MVB because of the form of the distribution function and/or the number of observations. I present simple methods for recognizing when this occurs and for obtaining a more accurate estimate of the variance than the MVB when it does.

13 pages, phyzzx

Related Organizations
Keywords

Astrophysics (astro-ph), FOS: Physical sciences, Astrophysics

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
24
Average
Top 10%
Top 10%
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