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Article
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Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
Article . 1969 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
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ON THE FLUCTUATIONS OF SUMS OF INDEPENDENT RANDOM VARIABLES

On the fluctuations of sums of independent random variables
Authors: Feller, W.;

ON THE FLUCTUATIONS OF SUMS OF INDEPENDENT RANDOM VARIABLES

Abstract

If X 1 , X 2 ,... are independent random variables with zero expectation and finite variances, the cumulative sums S n are, on the average, of the order of magnitude S n , where S n 2 = E ( S n 2 ). The occasional maxima of the ratios S n /S n are surprisingly large and the problem is to estimate the extent of their probable fluctuations. Specifically, let S n * = ( S n - b n )/ a n , where { a n } and { b n }, two numerical sequences. For any interval I , denote by p ( I ) the probability that the event S n * ε I occurs for infinitely many n . Under mild conditions on { a n } and { b n }, it is shown that p ( I ) equals 0 or 1 according as a certain series converges or diverges. To obtain the upper limit of S n /a n , one has to set b n = ± ε a n , but finer results are obtained with smaller b n . No assumptions concerning the under-lying distributions are made; the criteria explain structurally which features of { X n } affect the fluctuations, but for concrete results something about P { S n > a n } must be known. For example, a complete solution is possible when the X n are normal, replacing the classical law of the iterated logarithm. Further concrete estimates may be obtained by combining the new criteria with some recently developed limit theorems.

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probability theory

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
1
Average
Average
Average
bronze