
doi: 10.1057/jam.2014.33
The literature suggests that excessive speculation is hard to define, and thus difficult to regulate. The aim of this article is to provide a framework to differentiate between legitimate speculation and excessive speculation, using the efficient market mechanism as a guide (or blueprint). Specifically, I argue that all speculative strategies that improve market efficiency, based on public information, with no predatory/manipulative elements, can be classified as legitimate speculation, while all speculative strategies that purposely cause market inefficiencies, with predatory/manipulative behavior, can be classified as excessive speculation. Accordingly, I classify rational arbitrage, discretionary trading and systematic trend-following as legitimate speculation, which should be encouraged. Using the same framework, I classify insider trading, rational destabilizing speculation and arbitraging arbitragers as excessive speculation, which must be regulated.
| selected citations These citations are derived from selected sources. This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | 8 | |
| popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network. | Top 10% | |
| influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | Top 10% | |
| impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network. | Average |
