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IMF Economic Review
Article . 2013 . Peer-reviewed
License: Springer TDM
Data sources: Crossref
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Managing and Harnessing Volatile Oil Windfalls

Authors: Ton S van den Bremer; Frederick van der Ploeg;

Managing and Harnessing Volatile Oil Windfalls

Abstract

Three funds are necessary to manage an oil windfall: intergenerational, liquidity, and investment funds. The optimal liquidity fund is bigger if the windfall lasts longer and oil price volatility, prudence, and the GDP share of oil rents are high and productivity growth is low. The paper applies the authors' theory to the windfalls of Norway, Iraq, and Ghana. The optimal size of Ghana's liquidity fund is tiny even with high prudence. Norway's liquidity fund is bigger than Ghana's. Iraq's liquidity fund is colossal relative to its intergenerational fund. Only with capital scarcity, part of the windfall should be used for investing to invest. The paper illustrates how this can speed up the process of development in Ghana despite domestic absorption constraints. © 2013 International Monetary Fund.

Countries
United Kingdom, Netherlands
Related Organizations
Keywords

SDG 17 - Partnerships for the Goals, economic development; Ghana; inefficiency; intergenerational fund; Iraq; liquidity fund; Norway; oil price volatility; precautionary buffers; public investment; sovereign wealth, SDG 8 - Decent Work and Economic Growth, jel: jel:D91, jel: jel:Q32, jel: jel:E21, jel: jel:E22

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    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
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    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
27
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 10%
Green
bronze