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Comparative European Politics
Article . 2017 . Peer-reviewed
License: Springer TDM
Data sources: Crossref
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Economic indicators and electoral volatility: economic effects on electoral volatility in Western Europe, 1950–2013

Authors: Ruth Dassonneville; Marc Hooghe;

Economic indicators and electoral volatility: economic effects on electoral volatility in Western Europe, 1950–2013

Abstract

Economic voting theory assumes that on an individual level voters react to economic indicators to hold incumbents responsible for the performance of the economy. On an aggregate level, this would imply that there is an association between economic indicators and levels of volatility since voters have to switch parties if they want to punish or reward political actors. Based on a time-series cross-section analysis of the Pedersen Index for Western European countries in the period 1950–2013, we do indeed observe an association between economic indicators and levels of volatility. This effect furthermore grows stronger over time, and it is assumed that this is rendered possible by processes of partisan dealignment. The analysis suggests that European electorates are significantly more likely to shift parties in response to economic downturn now than they were a few decades ago.

Country
Belgium
Related Organizations
Keywords

electoral volatility, CROSS-SECTION-DATA, DECLINE, ADVANCED INDUSTRIAL DEMOCRACIES, Political Science, Social Sciences, POLITICAL CONTEXT, VOTE, DETERMINANTS, pedersen index, Western Europe time-series-cross-section data, 1606 Political Science, ELECTIONS, 4408 Political science, Government & Law, SYSTEMS, CHANGING PATTERNS, PARTY SUPPORT, economic voting

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    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
95
Top 1%
Top 10%
Top 1%
Green
bronze