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https://doi.org/10.1038/srep01...
Article . 2013 . Peer-reviewed
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Article . 2013
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Article . 2013
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Climate variability and outbreaks of infectious diseases in Europe

Authors: Morand, Serge; Owers, Katharine; Waret-Szkuta, Agnès; McIntyre, K. Marie; Baylis, Matthew;

Climate variability and outbreaks of infectious diseases in Europe

Abstract

Several studies provide evidence of a link between vector-borne disease outbreaks and El Niño driven climate anomalies. Less investigated are the effects of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). Here, we test its impact on outbreak occurrences of 13 infectious diseases over Europe during the last fifty years, controlling for potential bias due to increased surveillance and detection. NAO variation statistically influenced the outbreak occurrence of eleven of the infectious diseases. Seven diseases were associated with winter NAO positive phases in northern Europe, and therefore with above-average temperatures and precipitation. Two diseases were associated with the summer or spring NAO negative phases in northern Europe, and therefore with below-average temperatures and precipitation. Two diseases were associated with summer positive or negative NAO phases in southern Mediterranean countries. These findings suggest that there is potential for developing early warning systems, based on climatic variation information, for improved outbreak control and management.

Country
France
Keywords

maladie des animaux, maladie transmise par vecteur, P40 - Météorologie et climatologie, http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_29554, Climate, L73 - Maladies des animaux, Communicable Diseases, Article, Disease Outbreaks, http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_37871, http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_16411, http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_34024, http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_34142, Humans, maladie infectieuse, http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_1666, surveillance épidémiologique, système d'alerte rapide, changement climatique, http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_2724, Temperature, facteur climatique, L70 - Sciences et hygiène vétérinaires - Considérations générales, tempête, http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_426, Europe, http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_7436, S50 - Santé humaine, maladie de l'homme, http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_29198, Seasons

  • BIP!
    Impact byBIP!
    selected citations
    These citations are derived from selected sources.
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    53
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Top 10%
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
53
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 10%
Green
gold