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Sensitivity Analysis: An Operational Picture

Authors: Dell’Oca, A.;

Sensitivity Analysis: An Operational Picture

Abstract

AbstractModeling is crucial to understand the behavior of environmental systems. A deeper comprehension of a model can be aided by global sensitivity analysis (GSA). Variability ascribed to model variables could have a stochastic (i.e., lack of knowledge) or an operational (i.e., possible design values) origin. Despite the possible different nature in the variability, current GSA strategies do not distinguish the latter in their formal derivations/developments. We propose to disentangle the variability in the operational and stochastic variables while assessing the model output sensitivity with respect to the former. Two operational sensitivity indices are introduced that serve to characterize the sensitivity of a model output of interest with respect to an operational variable in terms of (a) its average (with respect to the stochastic variables) intensity and (b) its degree of fluctuation (across the set of possible realizations of the stochastic variables), respectively. We exemplify our developments considering two scenarios. Results highlight the relevance of employing an operational GSA when the focus is on the influence of operational variables on model output.

Keywords

Operational variables, Global sensitivity analysis, Uncertainty, http://metadata.un.org/sdg/15, Stochastic variables, Protect, restore and promote sustainable use of terrestrial ecosystems, sustainably manage forests, combat desertification, and halt and reverse land degradation and halt biodiversity loss, Management

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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
views
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