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Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems
Article . 2020 . Peer-reviewed
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Optimization of Deep Learning Precipitation Models Using Categorical Binary Metrics

Authors: Pablo R. Larraondo; Luigi J. Renzullo; Albert I. J. M. Van Dijk; Inaki Inza; Jose A. Lozano;

Optimization of Deep Learning Precipitation Models Using Categorical Binary Metrics

Abstract

AbstractThis work introduces a methodology for optimizing neural network models using a combination of continuous and categorical binary indices in the context of precipitation forecasting. Probability of detection and false alarm rate are popular metrics used in the verification of precipitation models. However, machine learning models trained using gradient descent cannot be optimized based on these metrics, as they are not differentiable. We propose an alternative formulation for these categorical indices that are differentiable and we demonstrate how they can be used to optimize the skill of precipitation neural network models defined as a multiobjective optimization problem. To our knowledge, this is the first proposal of a methodology for optimizing weather neural network models based on categorical indices.

Keywords

Physical geography, categorical indexes, precipitation verification, deep learning, modeling, GC1-1581, precipitations, neural networks, Oceanography, GB3-5030, machine learning, binary metrics, optimization

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
8
Top 10%
Average
Top 10%
Green
gold